Mapping biodiversity and ecosystem service trade-offs and synergies of agricultural change trajectories in Europe

The intensification, extensification and abandonment of agricultural land will each play a major role in the future development European landscapes. However, their impacts on various dimensions sustainability vary spatially. This creates challenges but also opportunities for landscape managers policymakers to optimize biodiversity ecosystem services. In this study, we conduct spatial assessment these three trajectories ten service indicators across Union (EU) UK. Using resolution 1 km2, exposed high variation strong differences patterns depending indicator. Aggregating all positive negative trajectory, hot- cold spots total could be distinguished. An trade-offs synergies between trajectory was used map areas dominated by beneficial impacts, detrimental or impacts. results indicate very diverse trade-off synergy patterns, with generally sub-regional variation, emphasizing (i) need reflecting context-specificity planning management (ii) potential advantages targeting conservation strategies. Biodiversity impact mapping exercises can, thus, tool effectively navigate explore effective sustainable solutions.